The YES movement would win the elections to the Chamber of Deputies at the turn of September and October, however, the party has been losing support for a long time. The movement’s preferences have fallen by 10 percentage points since March, while the STAN and Pirates movements are strengthening. The Communists and the ruling CSSD would remain outside the House.
According to Kantar’s election model for ČT, seven entities would enter the Chamber of Deputies. At 24.5 percent, the YES movement is leading, but compared to the model, it lost three points last month. The second is Pirates with 19%, the third ODS 13.5 percent.
Since the last survey, the STAN movement has also strengthened, which would take fourth place with its 9.5%. Since March, the Mayors have strengthened by 4 percentage points. Only Pirates, who have 5.5 percentage points more than in the March survey, have improved more.
As in the previous model, the SPD movement has 8%. He is in fifth place in the current survey. The KDU-ČSL parties with 6% and TOP 09 with 5.5% are around the 5% limit that needs to be obtained for entering the lower chamber. The necessary border was not exceeded by the left-wing subjects of the KSČM (4.5%) and the government CSSD (4%).
According to analyst Pavel Ranocha, who participated in the model, the situation around the epidemic bothers YES the most. Specifically, poor government communication, wasted summer and poor preparedness for the second wave. Voters YES most often goes to Pirates. Some also don’t know who to vote for.
The current survey for ČT was carried out by the company KANTAR CZ, sro Data collection took place on 21.9. to 9.10. 2020 on a representative sample of 1200 respondents, which reflects the real socio-demographic distribution of society. 895 respondents entered the election model.